Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 17
Defender wins (French): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2026-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2024-05-02 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1289 | 42% | 2023-12-27 | | Won |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2022-01-13 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1078 | 38% | 2021-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-01-24 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1226 | 17% | 2019-12-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2019-11-24 | | Won |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2019-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-03-22 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1079.9 has a 43.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).