Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 19
Defender wins (French): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 972 | 56% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1215 | 1225 | 49% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 885 | 869 | 52% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1078 | 42% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1024 | 50% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-12-10 | Won |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2019-11-24 | Won |
| 1230 | 1097 | 68% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 1097 | 1143 | 43% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1217 | 51% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1100.5 vs 1099.6 has a 50.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).