Heart of Darkness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (11 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (South African): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 962 | 1209 | 19% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1092 | 38% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1091 | 55% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 968 | 1310 | 12% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1004 | 982 | 53% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 885 | 1199 | 14% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 906 | 64% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1170 | 1021 | 70% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 1067 has a 46.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).