Italian Behemoth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (16 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 21
Defender wins (South African): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1050 | 69% | 2025-07-14 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2023-08-20 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2023-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2023-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 962 | 74% | 2022-12-30 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 947 | 75% | 2020-12-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2020-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 987 | 56% | 2020-01-24 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2019-06-26 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2019-06-04 | | Won |
| 925 | 1242 | 14% | 2019-05-14 | | Won |
| 1329 | 1080 | 81% | 2019-02-23 | | Won |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2019-02-18 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2019-01-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 1072.6 has a 48.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).