Italian Behemoth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (16 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 21
Defender wins (South African): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 1028 | 65% | 2025-07-14 | | Lost |
| 935 | 1000 | 41% | 2024-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2023-08-20 | | Lost |
| 928 | 1016 | 38% | 2023-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2023-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 961 | 74% | 2022-12-30 | | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2022-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 947 | 74% | 2020-12-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2020-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1031 | 50% | 2020-01-24 | | Won |
| 987 | 1099 | 34% | 2019-06-26 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2019-06-04 | | Won |
| 925 | 1263 | 13% | 2019-05-14 | | Won |
| 1317 | 1080 | 80% | 2019-02-23 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2019-02-18 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2019-01-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1066.4 has a 48.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).