A Push in the Bush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (8 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
979 | 1045 | 41% | 2022-11-21 | Lost |
977 | 938 | 56% | 2022-01-27 | Lost |
1074 | 1184 | 35% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
998 | 940 | 58% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
982 | 1094 | 34% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
1039 | 1047 | 49% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
1121 | 1310 | 25% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
1141 | 1045 | 63% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1075.4 has a 44.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).