Drive to Ioannina
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (8 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 11
Defender wins (Greek): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2026-08-24 | | Won |
| 1284 | 912 | 89% | 2025-06-19 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2024-06-19 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2022-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1107 | 1055 | 57% | 2021-12-26 | | Lost |
| 989 | 985 | 51% | 2021-09-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-06-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1079.3 vs 1038.6 has a 55.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).