Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (19 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1153 | 29% | 2026-08-01 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2026-07-31 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | 2026-07-31 | | Won |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2026-07-31 | | Won |
| 887 | 1145 | 18% | 2026-07-31 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2022-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2021-12-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2021-06-14 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | | Won |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-03-18 | | Won |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2019-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2019-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1073 | 40% | 2019-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 964 | 55% | 2019-02-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2018-11-25 | | Won |
| 994 | 1008 | 48% | 2018-11-03 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1126 | 41% | 2018-11-03 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1018.6 vs 1047.5 has a 45.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).