Simple Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (16 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1035 | 48% | 2026-07-20 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-11-22 | | Won |
| 961 | 1000 | 44% | 2023-09-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2022-06-01 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-03-10 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2022-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2021-12-21 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-10-30 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-10-30 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-03-28 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1011 | 46% | 2019-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2019-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2019-06-08 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2019-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1203 | 1164 | 56% | 2019-03-18 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.2 vs 1022.4 has a 52.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).