Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (9 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2026-02-01 | Won |
| 884 | 1056 | 27% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 952 | 984 | 45% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 948 | 1099 | 30% | 2021-12-25 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 988 | 1091 | 36% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 988 | 47% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 1063 | 31% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 982.7 vs 1034.2 has a 42.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).