Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1028 | 48% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 983 | 1011 | 46% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 954 | 994 | 44% | 2021-12-25 | Won |
| 1054 | 1041 | 52% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 939 | 1091 | 29% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 939 | 54% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 899 | 1145 | 20% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 973.6 vs 1035.6 has a 41.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).