Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 998 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 955 | 1045 | 37% | 2021-12-25 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 931 | 1091 | 28% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 931 | 56% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 917 | 1116 | 24% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 974.1 vs 1038.6 has a 40.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).