Death to Fascism
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (20 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (Romanian/German): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Romanian/German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1435 | 1064 | 89% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 992 | 1161 | 27% | 2023-06-14 | Won |
| 976 | 1226 | 19% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 1036 | 38% | 2021-11-12 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1202 | 45% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1073 | 961 | 66% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1263 | 1056 | 77% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
| 988 | 1165 | 27% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2019-03-13 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1031 | 48% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1044 | 74% | 2018-12-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1162 | 39% | 2018-11-30 | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2018-11-07 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1142 | 45% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1090 | 966 | 67% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1124 | 983 | 69% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1048 | 1024 | 53% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1317 | 1146 | 73% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1051 | 1141 | 37% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1126 vs 1102.5 has a 53.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).