Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1092 | 1058 | 55% | 2023-12-29 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1009 | 46% | 2023-08-11 | D | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2023-01-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2022-06-07 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-11-22 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1147 | 25% | 2020-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1077 | 61% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 820 | 1152 | 13% | 2020-10-09 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1076 | 37% | 2020-10-08 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1076 | 37% | 2020-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2020-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2020-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 947 | 75% | 2020-04-10 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2019-08-07 | | Won |
| 1129 | 1046 | 62% | 2019-07-26 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2019-05-16 | | Won |
| 1052 | 904 | 70% | 2019-04-14 | | Won |
| 1087 | 981 | 65% | 2019-04-12 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1062 | 55% | 2019-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-03-01 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1052 | 63% | 2019-02-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2018-12-15 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1011 | 44% | 2018-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1145 | 48% | 2018-11-26 | | Won |
| 901 | 1154 | 19% | 2018-11-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1037.7 vs 1059.5 has a 46.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).