Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (28 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 51
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1011 | 70% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 931 | 1045 | 34% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1310 | 18% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 900 | 69% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1149 | 946 | 76% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 847 | 1149 | 15% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 931 | 1069 | 31% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 982 | 53% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 931 | 1069 | 31% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 882 | 68% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 952 | 72% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2019-08-07 | Won |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1085 | 927 | 71% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1082 | 931 | 70% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 1008 | 55% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1001 | 62% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 1085 | 58% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1124 | 1223 | 36% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1214 | 17% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 970 | 1084 | 34% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 926 | 1276 | 12% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1049.6 has a 49.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).