Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (27 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 51
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 906 | 1050 | 30% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1310 | 19% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 998 | 900 | 64% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 998 | 1157 | 29% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1149 | 989 | 72% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 841 | 1149 | 15% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 906 | 1056 | 30% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 906 | 1056 | 30% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1258 | 1058 | 76% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 913 | 64% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 1157 | 952 | 76% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1170 | 1014 | 71% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2019-08-07 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1085 | 998 | 62% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1060 | 906 | 71% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 1043 | 1125 | 38% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1157 | 1085 | 60% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 927 | 1223 | 15% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 970 | 1080 | 35% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 922 | 1264 | 12% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1064.6 has a 46.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).