Fish to Fry
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 8
Defender wins (North Korean): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1230 | 945 | 84% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 1110 | 989 | 67% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 984 | 1030 | 43% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1136 | 35% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1024 | 50% | 2019-01-12 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2018-12-17 | Won |
| 997 | 1052 | 42% | 2018-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.3 vs 1052 has a 50.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).