Fish to Fry
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 8
Defender wins (North Korean): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 1109 | 51% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1122 | 36% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1031 | 1072 | 44% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1137 | 41% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1024 | 58% | 2019-01-12 | Won |
| 1089 | 1051 | 55% | 2018-12-17 | Won |
| 974 | 1089 | 34% | 2018-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1072.7 vs 1077.7 has a 49.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).