Rebel’s Roost
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (North Korean): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2026-10-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2020-05-25 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2018-10-04 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1003.3 has a 58.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).