Hatten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (15 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 818 | 80% | 2025-12-28 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2025-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2024-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2024-04-08 | | Won |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2024-03-01 | | Won |
| 1289 | 974 | 86% | 2023-10-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2023-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1138 | 70% | 2022-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1163 | 36% | 2021-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1218 | 40% | 2021-02-09 | | Won |
| 1002 | 989 | 52% | 2021-01-31 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 2020-09-08 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-05-17 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1147 | 27% | 2020-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1057 | 42% | 2019-05-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1095.7 vs 1074.8 has a 53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).