Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (26 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1068 | 54% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 993 | 1000 | 49% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1086 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 898 | 898 | 50% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 988 | 52% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1015 | 982 | 55% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 932 | 60% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
| 980 | 999 | 47% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1030 | 65% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 952 | 1038 | 38% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1000 | 74% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 1056 | 982 | 60% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 841 | 1071 | 21% | | Won |
| 841 | 1071 | 21% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1004.8 vs 1018.2 has a 48.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).