Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (28 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1315 | 986 | 87% | 2026-08-21 | | Won |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2024-12-22 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1073 | 65% | 2022-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2022-07-15 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1031 | 61% | 2022-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2021-06-24 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 954 | 57% | 2019-12-14 | | Won |
| 977 | 1226 | 19% | 2019-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1097 | 67% | 2019-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1111 | 65% | 2019-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1056 | 62% | 2019-06-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2019-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-04-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2019-03-02 | | Lost |
| 876 | 1099 | 22% | 2019-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1073 | 53% | 2019-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2018-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2018-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2018-11-12 | | Won |
| 975 | 1242 | 18% | 2018-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 981 | 61% | 2018-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1057.1 has a 51.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).