Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (25 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
948 | 1014 | 41% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
1159 | 1020 | 69% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
1043 | 1084 | 44% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
1094 | 1014 | 61% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
1097 | 977 | 67% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
898 | 927 | 46% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
1074 | 1223 | 30% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
1214 | 1129 | 62% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
1214 | 1173 | 56% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
1099 | 1069 | 54% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
1137 | 1198 | 41% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
1010 | 1110 | 36% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
879 | 1008 | 32% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
1129 | 1100 | 54% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
1014 | 936 | 61% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
1100 | 1091 | 51% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
1140 | 857 | 84% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
1045 | 984 | 59% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Won |
1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1082.4 vs 1066.5 has a 52.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).