Graveyard Shift
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (20 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1131 | 41% | 2025-10-10 | | Won |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2025-01-26 | D | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-10-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2023-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2022-09-24 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2022-05-21 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1164 | 34% | 2021-01-09 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1218 | 43% | 2020-04-12 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-04-02 | | Won |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2020-03-15 | | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2020-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2019-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1142 | 1059 | 62% | 2019-02-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2019-02-03 | | Won |
| 876 | 1062 | 26% | 2019-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-12-10 | | Won |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2018-11-03 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1310 | 28% | 2018-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2018-08-25 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 1041.4 has a 51.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).