Graveyard Shift
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (20 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1149 | 28% | 2025-10-10 | | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2025-01-26 | D | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-10-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2023-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1038 | 49% | 2022-09-24 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2022-05-21 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1164 | 34% | 2021-01-09 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1218 | 36% | 2020-04-12 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-04-02 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2020-03-15 | | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2020-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2019-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1056 | 62% | 2019-02-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2019-02-03 | | Won |
| 876 | 1090 | 23% | 2019-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2018-12-10 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2018-11-03 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1317 | 26% | 2018-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-08-25 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1050 has a 49.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).