Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (14 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 31
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1070 | 45% | 2025-11-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2025-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2024-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2024-09-27 | | Won |
| 989 | 1049 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | | Won |
| 1085 | 907 | 74% | 2022-07-12 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2021-12-28 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2020-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1090 | 52% | 2020-07-03 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1012 | 80% | 2020-07-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2020-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2019-12-14 | | Won |
| 1141 | 883 | 82% | 2018-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2018-04-10 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1052.7 vs 1070.9 has a 47.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).