Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (12 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1156 | 31% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1112 | 39% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 941 | 1018 | 39% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1032 | 44% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1203 | 872 | 87% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1142 | 1014 | 68% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1044 | 951 | 63% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1152 | 882 | 83% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1081.3 vs 1028.5 has a 57.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).