Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (15 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 31
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2026-10-13 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1070 | 39% | 2025-11-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2025-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2024-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 997 | 50% | 2024-09-27 | | Won |
| 989 | 1049 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | | Won |
| 1134 | 907 | 79% | 2022-07-12 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2021-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2020-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1062 | 56% | 2020-07-03 | | Won |
| 1230 | 995 | 79% | 2020-07-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2020-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2019-12-14 | | Won |
| 1141 | 883 | 82% | 2018-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2018-04-10 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.7 vs 1076.4 has a 46.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).