Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1074 | 55% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 1262 | 27% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1143 | 35% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 942 | 1003 | 41% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 1025 | 1032 | 49% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1222 | 885 | 87% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 1092 | 1030 | 59% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 949 | 1083 | 32% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1140 | 44% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1143 | 991 | 71% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1343 | 1102 | 80% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1047 | 901 | 70% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1180 | 883 | 85% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 1338 | 1341 | 50% | 2018-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1115.5 vs 1062.1 has a 57.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).