Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (14 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 31
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 1069 | 41% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 1113 | 36% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1088 | 43% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 942 | 953 | 48% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1049 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1083 | 902 | 74% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1040 | 59% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1208 | 1011 | 76% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1231 | 1179 | 57% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1047 | 964 | 62% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 883 | 81% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 1337 | 1342 | 49% | 2018-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1088.3 vs 1044.9 has a 56.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).