The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (21 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2026-03-03 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1214 | 45% | 2026-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1317 | 39% | 2026-02-01 | | Won |
| 1005 | 1214 | 23% | 2025-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1258 | 18% | 2023-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2023-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2022-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-10-30 | | Won |
| 980 | 1006 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | | Won |
| 970 | 1088 | 34% | 2020-09-22 | | Lost |
| 996 | 949 | 57% | 2020-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1121 | 57% | 2020-09-14 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-06-20 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1000 | 15% | 2019-01-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2018-09-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2018-06-29 | | Won |
| 889 | 1149 | 18% | 2018-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1234 | 21% | 2018-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 984 | 72% | 2018-04-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1027.3 vs 1088.7 has a 41.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).