Twilight's Last Gleaming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (7 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1028 | 58% | 2026-01-27 | Won |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2025-07-07 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1037 | 62% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1087 | 50% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 2001-04-09 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1095 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 969.4 vs 1067.6 has a 36.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).