Twilight's Last Gleaming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (7 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2026-01-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2025-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2022-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1120 | 45% | 2022-03-20 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2016-12-19 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2001-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 970.3 vs 1066.1 has a 36.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).