Twilight's Last Gleaming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (3 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1119 | 1069 | 57% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1068 | 42% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1098.7 vs 1100.3 has a 49.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).