Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (21 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 38
Defender wins (American): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1094 | 1119 | 46% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 927 | 47% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 881 | 1014 | 32% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 931 | 1005 | 40% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 880 | 848 | 55% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1091 | 53% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 888 | 1031 | 31% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1130 | 944 | 74% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1035 | 931 | 65% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1012 | 893 | 66% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 864 | 1069 | 24% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1276 | 40% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 1140 | 27% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 931 | 1014 | 38% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 947 | 1065 | 34% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 997.2 vs 1021.9 has a 46.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).