Checking Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (25 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (American): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2026-02-23 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1003 | 51% | 2026-02-01 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1020 | 48% | 2025-03-30 | Won |
| 945 | 1078 | 32% | 2023-08-25 | Won |
| 1078 | 1173 | 37% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 908 | 878 | 54% | 2019-08-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2019-07-30 | Tied |
| 1026 | 1008 | 53% | 2019-07-07 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2019-02-12 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1040 | 58% | 2018-10-13 | Lost |
| 913 | 1041 | 32% | 2018-09-09 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1078 | 59% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 1006 | 1026 | 47% | 2018-06-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1006 | 65% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1283 | 30% | 2018-06-09 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 864 | 1027 | 28% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1180 | 53% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1116 | 30% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1026 | 975 | 57% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 1081 | 32% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1010 vs 1041.5 has a 45.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).