The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (17 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 32
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 986 | 56% | 2026-02-07 | Won |
| 1134 | 1179 | 44% | 2026-01-31 | Won |
| 987 | 1225 | 20% | 2026-01-05 | Lost |
| 969 | 909 | 59% | 2025-10-26 | Won |
| 884 | 872 | 52% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 971 | 974 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1129 | 36% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 924 | 1102 | 26% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 910 | 71% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2018-07-29 | Won |
| 991 | 918 | 60% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1084 | 43% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 1327 | 1342 | 48% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1021 | 41% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036.9 vs 1057.3 has a 47.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).