First Bayonet Charge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (OUNC): 7
Defender wins (North Korean): 20
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (OUNC): 0
Defender wins (North Korean): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2024-12-14 | D | Lost |
| 803 | 1150 | 12% | 2024-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2020-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 960 | 65% | 2019-06-21 | | Won |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2019-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2018-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2018-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2018-05-13 | | Lost |
| 971 | 989 | 47% | 2018-04-15 | | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-02-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 999.1 vs 986.1 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).