First Bayonet Charge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (OUNC): 7
Defender wins (North Korean): 20
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (OUNC): 0
Defender wins (North Korean): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2024-12-14 | D | Lost |
| 808 | 1159 | 12% | 2024-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2020-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 996 | 57% | 2019-06-21 | | Won |
| 959 | 1055 | 37% | 2019-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2018-11-24 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2018-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-05-13 | | Lost |
| 971 | 998 | 46% | 2018-04-15 | | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-02-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 992 vs 996.6 has a 49.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).