Task Force Faith Breakout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (6 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2026-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1170 | 44% | 2023-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1159 | 38% | 2022-01-17 | | Won |
| 1258 | 732 | 95% | 2022-01-10 | | Won |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2020-05-15 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2018-11-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1041 has a 53.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).