Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (19 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 27
Defender wins (South Korean): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1025 | 982 | 56% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
| 1175 | 1220 | 44% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1158 | 960 | 76% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 986 | 1010 | 47% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 884 | 1128 | 20% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 1048 | 960 | 62% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 974 | 1037 | 41% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | Won |
| 1009 | 1070 | 41% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 913 | 1166 | 19% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 967 | 1110 | 31% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1003 | 1143 | 31% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 1135 | 1007 | 68% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 941 | 1022 | 39% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1099 | 80% | 2018-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1060.7 has a 48.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).