Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 27
Defender wins (South Korean): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1027 | 1024 | 50% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
| 1141 | 1276 | 31% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 913 | 1011 | 36% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 927 | 1097 | 27% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 1084 | 1085 | 50% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2019-06-19 | Won |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1069 | 1099 | 46% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 983 | 1008 | 46% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1057 has a 47.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).