Mauled at Merdorp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (French): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 1042 | 63% | 2022-05-21 | Won |
| 974 | 1162 | 25% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2022-03-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1136 | 39% | 2021-07-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 1056 | 35% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 967 | 1041 | 40% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2018-10-24 | Lost |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2018-05-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1133 | 50% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1284 | 1123 | 72% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1242 | 45% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1076 | 58% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1101.7 vs 1088.8 has a 51.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).