The Chivres Shivaree
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (7 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 978 | 56% | 2018-06-27 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1223 | 53% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1045 | 70% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 956 | 1098 | 31% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2018-05-03 | Lost |
| 1116 | 976 | 69% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1071.4 vs 1053.7 has a 52.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).