The Chivres Shivaree
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (8 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 3
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2025-08-11 | Won |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2024-06-06 | Lost |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2018-06-27 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1226 | 53% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 956 | 1072 | 34% | 2018-06-24 | Lost |
| 930 | 1138 | 23% | 2018-05-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 930 | 77% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1060.3 vs 1052.4 has a 51.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).