A Small Stack and a Schnapps
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1095 | 35% | 2021-06-28 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2021-06-10 | Won |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1085 | 44% | 2019-08-25 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1216 | 1177 | 56% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1190 | 54% | 2018-10-29 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2018-03-04 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1281 | 32% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1107.3 vs 1094.6 has a 51.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).