A Small Stack and a Schnapps
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1283 | 31% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2021-06-28 | Won |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2021-06-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2019-08-25 | Lost |
| 1236 | 980 | 81% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 1204 | 52% | 2018-10-30 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2018-10-29 | Lost |
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1138 | 1283 | 30% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2018-03-04 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1256 | 39% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1126.5 vs 1113.8 has a 51.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).