The Battle of Mali Spadarit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 9
Defender wins (Greek): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 1090 | 58% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 780 | 1029 | 19% | 2020-07-29 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-05-24 | Won |
| 1169 | 1090 | 61% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1382 | 16% | 2019-11-06 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1075 | 51% | 2018-07-07 | Won |
| 1419 | 1274 | 70% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1093.6 vs 1114.5 has a 47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).