Zwarts' Madhouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Dutch): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1041 | 1003 | 55% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 928 | 1087 | 29% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1148 | 38% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1143 | 1051 | 63% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1025 | 75% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1071.6 has a 45.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).