Zwarts' Madhouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (9 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Dutch): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 1182 | 40% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1041 | 1048 | 49% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 928 | 1086 | 29% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
| 777 | 1140 | 11% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1148 | 38% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1143 | 1082 | 59% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1175 | 759 | 92% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1038.6 vs 1049.2 has a 48.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).