The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1062 | 40% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 913 | 960 | 43% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
| 1223 | 927 | 85% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 988 | 1125 | 31% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1199 | 910 | 84% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 1080 | 958 | 67% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1084 | 46% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1090.9 vs 970.1 has a 66.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).