Back in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (10 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1094 | 35% | 2024-08-12 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1151 | 44% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 965 | 60% | 2023-04-28 | Won |
| 996 | 998 | 50% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1165 | 46% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2019-08-23 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1059 | 1215 | 29% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1120 | 34% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1101.4 vs 1099.6 has a 50.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).