Back in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (10 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 990 | 1056 | 41% | 2024-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2024-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 966 | 60% | 2023-04-28 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1252 | 34% | 2021-04-10 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2020-01-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2019-08-23 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-03-23 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2018-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1120 | 34% | 2018-03-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1085.4 has a 45.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).