A Grain of Sand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 19
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1131 | 33% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1014 | 920 | 63% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1035 | 63% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1197 | 26% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1210 | 43% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1064 | 1146 | 38% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 967 | 75% | 2018-04-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1158 | 25% | 2018-04-05 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1084 | 42% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1237 | 1197 | 56% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1096 | 77% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1098 vs 1103.7 has a 49.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).