Up the Liri Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (38 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 61
Defender wins (German): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 1141 | 67% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1051 | 1096 | 44% | 2025-11-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 953 | 59% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1263 | 33% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 930 | 72% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1024 | 68% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 904 | 1105 | 24% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 949 | 54% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
| 975 | 1130 | 29% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1072 | 51% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
| 1130 | 904 | 79% | 2022-06-16 | Lost |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 780 | 76% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 780 | 1029 | 19% | 2021-02-17 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1041 | 64% | 2020-10-06 | Lost |
| 1226 | 996 | 79% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 993 | 1019 | 46% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 1019 | 971 | 57% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 989 | 890 | 64% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2019-11-16 | Won |
| 1042 | 1012 | 54% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1140 | 32% | 2018-11-01 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1140 | 54% | 2018-10-31 | Lost |
| 919 | 1055 | 31% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 876 | 1041 | 28% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1117 | 42% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 933 | 989 | 42% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1058 | 975 | 62% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
| 969 | 1123 | 29% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 1180 | 51% | 2018-03-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1081 | 47% | 2018-01-18 | Won |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2017-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1060.6 has a 47.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).