Mormal Forest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (22 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (French): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1017 | 69% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1108 | 1159 | 43% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 1129 | 982 | 70% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1127 | 1084 | 56% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1342 | 20% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1056 | 62% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1217 | 992 | 79% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1097 | 59% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 968 | 1127 | 29% | 2018-04-06 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1217 | 35% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1120 | 45% | 2018-03-23 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1231 | 43% | 2018-01-24 | Lost |
| 1134 | 968 | 72% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 953 | 1126 | 27% | 2017-12-24 | Won |
| 1099 | 1052 | 57% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1058 | 45% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1101 | 40% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1143 | 43% | 2017-11-12 | Tied |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1110.3 vs 1103.6 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).