Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (28 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 780 | 91% | 2025-01-21 | Won |
| 993 | 986 | 51% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
| 911 | 1084 | 27% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 950 | 1074 | 33% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 986 | 1010 | 47% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 993 | 989 | 51% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 904 | 1044 | 31% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1053 | 49% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 1099 | 977 | 67% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1066 | 53% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1150 | 50% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1051 | 64% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 950 | 82% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1220 | 22% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
| 1174 | 1174 | 50% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1274 | 34% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1037 | 1014 | 53% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1067 | 1150 | 38% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1099 | 1148 | 43% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 971 | 1158 | 25% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1060.2 has a 52.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).