Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1014 | 54% | 2024-05-28 | Won |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1100 | 54% | 2019-07-02 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1310 | 18% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
| 1214 | 939 | 83% | 2019-04-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1086 | 52% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 939 | 1214 | 17% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 1105 | 986 | 66% | 2017-10-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1069 | 46% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 982 | 1073 | 37% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1071.2 vs 1060.8 has a 51.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).