Ambush on South Knob
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 12
Defender wins (American): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 828 | 87% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1059 | 1004 | 58% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 957 | 974 | 48% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1183 | 23% | 2020-03-03 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1176 | 951 | 79% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 879 | 951 | 40% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1137 | 938 | 76% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 861 | 75% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1055 | 890 | 72% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1069 | 44% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1126 | 47% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1152 | 50% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1000.8 has a 57.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).