The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (21 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 39
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1009 | 43% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2023-03-09 | Won |
| 1102 | 1019 | 62% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 890 | 1092 | 24% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 993 | 46% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1038 | 63% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 973 | 984 | 48% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 899 | 993 | 37% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 748 | 973 | 21% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 897 | 916 | 47% | 2017-11-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1017 | 1266 | 19% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 988 | 920 | 60% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1058 | 72% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 906 | 1043 | 31% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1114 | 40% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1058 | 54% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
| 1064 | 982 | 62% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 906 | 999 | 37% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1017.8 vs 1029.7 has a 48.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).