The First Virtue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Free French): 8
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1040 | 34% | 2023-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2023-03-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2022-11-19 | | Won |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2022-09-11 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-12-15 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1057 | 41% | 2020-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2018-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2018-06-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2018-01-28 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2017-11-17 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2017-11-16 | | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | | Won |
| 1115 | 1289 | 27% | 2017-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2017-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1060 | 71% | 2017-10-06 | | Lost |
| 906 | 1056 | 30% | 2017-10-06 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1133 | 44% | 2017-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2017-10-02 | | Won |
| 981 | 1024 | 44% | 2017-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1033.1 vs 1021.7 has a 51.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).