Mageret Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (8 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1303 | 14% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1237 | 979 | 82% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 969 | 1013 | 44% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1158 | 41% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1158 | 25% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1218 | 1165 | 58% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1068 | 50% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 939 | 991 | 43% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060 vs 1104.4 has a 43.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).