Mageret Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (10 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 961 | 47% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 748 | 997 | 19% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 1310 | 14% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1158 | 41% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1219 | 1166 | 58% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1080 | 48% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 906 | 974 | 40% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.5 vs 1075.6 has a 42.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).