The Krinkelterwald
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (14 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 937 | 55% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 950 | 1009 | 42% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1016 | 897 | 66% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 960 | 882 | 61% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 965 | 63% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 893 | 906 | 48% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1008 | 50% | 2019-12-07 | Won |
| 889 | 1055 | 28% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 908 | 1080 | 27% | 2019-03-22 | Lost |
| 910 | 1080 | 27% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 1041 | 55% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1130 | 1110 | 53% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 999.2 vs 986.1 has a 51.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).