The Krinkelterwald
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (14 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 939 | 58% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1018 | 52% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 987 | 891 | 63% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
| 1073 | 965 | 65% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2019-12-07 | Won |
| 889 | 1073 | 26% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1143 | 1084 | 58% | 2019-03-22 | Lost |
| 977 | 1084 | 35% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1031 | 66% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1143 | 1094 | 57% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1129 | 1120 | 51% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1024.6 has a 52.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).