Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (10 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 11
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2024-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2021-08-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1143 | 31% | 2021-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2021-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2020-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2019-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2019-02-15 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2019-01-25 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1343 | 9% | 2018-07-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1042 vs 1070.1 has a 45.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).