Road to Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (4 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Italian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2025-07-12 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1045 | 77% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 981 | 61% | 2020-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1140 | 43% | 2017-11-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1083 vs 1061 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).