Road to Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (4 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Italian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1020 | 49% | 2025-07-12 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1038 | 80% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2020-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1138 | 43% | 2017-11-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1107.5 vs 1044.5 has a 58.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).