The Cost of Non-Compliance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (24 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2026-01-10 | Lost |
| 1281 | 1010 | 83% | 2025-11-29 | Won |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2024-11-21 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1123 | 50% | 2024-10-27 | Tied |
| 1053 | 999 | 58% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1307 | 13% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 904 | 886 | 53% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1072 | 1113 | 44% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 993 | 44% | 2019-04-21 | Won |
| 1158 | 992 | 72% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1068 | 65% | 2017-11-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2017-07-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 861 | 1099 | 20% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1025 | 49% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1056 | 78% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1067 | 62% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1112 | 42% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1064.8 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).