Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Finnish): 9
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2026-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1086 | 40% | 2026-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2025-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1169 | 27% | 2024-05-21 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1348 | 11% | 2024-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1169 | 1029 | 69% | 2024-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2023-08-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2023-07-01 | | Won |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2022-08-15 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2022-03-27 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-05-31 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1073 | 58% | 2020-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2019-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 907 | 80% | 2018-02-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2017-06-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1169 | 27% | 2017-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2017-04-02 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1133 | 38% | 2017-03-21 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2017-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2017-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2017-03-15 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1064.8 has a 46.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).