Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (16 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1141 | 29% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1001 | 69% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 881 | 1014 | 32% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 867 | 882 | 48% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1074 | 56% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1110 | 931 | 74% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1042 | 1141 | 36% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1069 | 52% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1223 | 44% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1116 | 874 | 80% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1163 | 996 | 72% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1045.7 vs 1023.9 has a 53.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).