Trial Run
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Canadian): 12
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-06-14 | | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1126 | 34% | 2021-05-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2020-05-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-05-17 | | Won |
| 997 | 1024 | 46% | 2020-04-22 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1024 | 46% | 2020-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 889 | 72% | 2018-03-11 | | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2017-12-02 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1097 | 56% | 2017-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 905 | 69% | 2017-09-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2017-09-01 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-08-04 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2017-05-22 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2017-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1049 | 64% | 2017-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1024 | 54% | 2017-02-16 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1086 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1039.9 vs 1043.3 has a 49.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).