Gunning For Gas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (14 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1097 | 60% | 2025-10-05 | Won |
| 1220 | 1056 | 72% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 1220 | 1140 | 61% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1056 | 953 | 64% | 2024-04-20 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2020-08-07 | Lost |
| 1430 | 1061 | 89% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 1176 | 1052 | 67% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 982 | 80% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2019-02-14 | Won |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2018-07-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 1041 | 40% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1158 | 1022 | 69% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1208 | 1034 | 73% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1173.5 vs 1069.4 has a 64.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).