Corridor To Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (29 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 53
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1140 | 50% | 2025-12-06 | | Won |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2025-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1211 | 23% | 2025-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1040 | 64% | 2024-04-15 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-07-31 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1147 | 60% | 2020-07-18 | | Won |
| 1132 | 991 | 69% | 2020-07-12 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2020-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2020-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-07-02 | | Won |
| 949 | 996 | 43% | 2020-06-28 | | Won |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2020-06-23 | | Lost |
| 981 | 959 | 53% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 958 | 1133 | 27% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2019-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1061 | 59% | 2019-03-31 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2018-12-20 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1142 | 32% | 2018-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 994 | 79% | 2018-01-04 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2017-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1129 | 32% | 2017-03-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2017-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1040 | 64% | 2017-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-01-21 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1141 | 50% | 2016-10-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1067.3 vs 1046.3 has a 53.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).