Propitious Arrival
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (3 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1051 | 59% | 2024-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2019-06-23 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2019-05-18 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1082.7 vs 1131.3 has a 43.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).