Propitious Arrival
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (3 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1046 | 64% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1108.3 vs 1034.7 has a 60.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).