March on Marche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (11 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (French): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1220 | 1253 | 45% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1135 | 982 | 71% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1005 | 898 | 65% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 974 | 1007 | 45% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1141 | 920 | 78% | 2016-10-03 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1208 | 52% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1089.6 vs 1008.6 has a 61.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).