March on Marche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (11 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (French): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1216 | 1182 | 55% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 1015 | 783 | 79% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1077 | 978 | 64% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1006 | 897 | 65% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1167 | 971 | 76% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1020 | 56% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 919 | 79% | 2016-10-03 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1143 | 60% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1097.7 vs 997.9 has a 63.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).