Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (18 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1108 | 40% | 2026-02-28 | Won |
| 866 | 989 | 33% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1347 | 850 | 95% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 885 | 861 | 53% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1223 | 956 | 82% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1113 | 1100 | 52% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 1216 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 968 | 987 | 47% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 956 | 1131 | 27% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1131 | 956 | 73% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 933 | 1217 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 995 | 968 | 54% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 879 | 956 | 39% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1231 | 23% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1030.5 vs 1044.2 has a 48.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).