Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (18 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1096 | 42% | 2026-02-28 | Won |
| 859 | 1013 | 29% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1342 | 850 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 878 | 862 | 52% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1236 | 980 | 81% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1256 | 945 | 86% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1204 | 1109 | 63% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1008 | 1216 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1024 | 987 | 55% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1217 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 975 | 1024 | 43% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1253 | 20% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1045 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).