Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (18 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1121 | 36% | 2026-02-28 | Won |
| 843 | 1012 | 27% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1347 | 850 | 95% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 884 | 861 | 53% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1220 | 952 | 82% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1170 | 1100 | 60% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 1216 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 974 | 987 | 48% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1133 | 1131 | 50% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1133 | 50% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 933 | 1218 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 1063 | 41% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 998 | 1063 | 41% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 974 | 55% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 879 | 1133 | 19% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1234 | 22% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1069.9 has a 45.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).