The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (12 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2025-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2024-12-13 | | Lost |
| 989 | 962 | 54% | 2023-11-04 | | Won |
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2021-11-22 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1055 | 40% | 2021-10-26 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1055 | 50% | 2021-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2021-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2021-01-30 | | Lost |
| 963 | 890 | 60% | 2018-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2018-10-29 | | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2018-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 950 | 69% | 2017-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 996 has a 54.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).