The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (12 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 979 | 51% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 999 | 962 | 55% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 1009 | 974 | 55% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 1052 | 974 | 61% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
| 853 | 884 | 46% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1063 | 950 | 66% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1019.3 vs 963.4 has a 57.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).