The Attempt to Relieve Peiper
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 9
Defender wins (American): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 925 | 911 | 52% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 1024 | 963 | 59% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 971 | 58% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
| 940 | 1052 | 34% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 1063 | 1052 | 52% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1025 | 74% | 2021-03-05 | Lost |
| 854 | 879 | 46% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2018-12-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1194 | 951 | 80% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 967.3 has a 58.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).